7.25.2005
Layoffs are telling us something
On Friday it was noted here that large layoffs are becoming noticeable. This article in Saturday's paper notes the same thing:The fascinating paragraph in the article is this one:
By replacing employees with robots, companies become more profitable and their stock prices go up. There is no law that says that companies have to employ people. As robots get more versatile and more intelligent, companies will continue dumping people onto the unemployment roles. See Robots taking Jobs for details.
- But some economy watchers are concerned that this latest flurry of job cuts -- a byproduct of outsourcing, mergers, automation, changing technology and consumer demands -- may foreshadow trouble.
"We won't know till afterwards, but I do think we may be seeing a tipping point in the economic cycle that these big layoffs are flagging," said John A. Carpenter, chief executive of Challenger, Gray & Christmas, a Chicago-based employment research firm. "I think it's a sign that leaks are breaking out."
One thing is for certain: It was not a good week for American labor. In fact, it's been an unusually torrid summer of payroll trimming.
By replacing employees with robots, companies become more profitable and their stock prices go up. There is no law that says that companies have to employ people. As robots get more versatile and more intelligent, companies will continue dumping people onto the unemployment roles. See Robots taking Jobs for details.
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Marshall,
Your fundamental thesis is undeniable.
One other approach that may work with it is this: once an economy borrows money, it MUST advance technology and productivity to pay it off. America is a debtor nation: people defended this debt by claiming that as long as we grow fast enough, we can have our cake and eat it too. See? Locked in. We MUST develop AI just to be able to have enough productive power to sustain the political system with its never ending population growth.
If the technology train slows down, or is intentionally stopped for social reasons, we will face a future far worse than robotic nation.
Your fundamental thesis is undeniable.
One other approach that may work with it is this: once an economy borrows money, it MUST advance technology and productivity to pay it off. America is a debtor nation: people defended this debt by claiming that as long as we grow fast enough, we can have our cake and eat it too. See? Locked in. We MUST develop AI just to be able to have enough productive power to sustain the political system with its never ending population growth.
If the technology train slows down, or is intentionally stopped for social reasons, we will face a future far worse than robotic nation.
I don't think Robots will put Americans out of work. We're doing that much more quickly with CAFTA and all the rest.
There are political reasons for the layoffs - left wing commentators predicted that your president's policies would lead to them and they were right. No-one needs to be surprised - the layoffs are bascically a product of class warfare and market economics.
Basically, it is cheaper to have a near-slave in a poor country manufacture goods than to have a well paid, unionised American. New technology does play a part - it is said that it is a lot easier physically to set up a factory than it used to be - but most goods are still made on staffed production lines that would be recognisable to someone from the 1930's.
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Basically, it is cheaper to have a near-slave in a poor country manufacture goods than to have a well paid, unionised American. New technology does play a part - it is said that it is a lot easier physically to set up a factory than it used to be - but most goods are still made on staffed production lines that would be recognisable to someone from the 1930's.
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